China allows three children in major policy shift

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China has announced that it will allow couples to have up to three children, after census data showed a steep decline in birth rates.

China scrapped its decades-old one-child policy in 2016, replacing it with a two-child limit which has failed to lead to a sustained upsurge in births.

The cost of raising children in cities has deterred many Chinese couples.

The latest move was approved by President Xi Jinping at a meeting of top Communist Party officials.

It will come with “supportive measures, which will be conducive to improving our country’s population structure, fulfilling the country’s strategy of actively coping with an ageing population and maintaining the advantage, endowment of human resources”, according to Xinhua news agency.

But human rights organisation Amnesty International said the policy, like its predecessors, was still a violation of sexual and reproductive rights.

“Governments have no business regulating how many children people have. Rather than ‘optimising’ its birth policy, China should instead respect people’s life choices and end any invasive and punitive controls over people’s family planning decisions,” said the group’s China team head, Joshua Rosenzweig.

Also, some experts were sceptical of the impact.

“If relaxing the birth policy was effective, the current two-child policy should have proven to be effective too,” Hao Zhou, a senior economist at Commerzbank, told Reuters news agency.

“But who wants to have three kids? Young people could have two kids at most. The fundamental issue is living costs are too high and life pressures are too huge.”

What did the census say?

The census, released this month, showed that around 12 million babies were born last year – a significant decrease from the 18 million in 2016, and the lowest number of births recorded since the 1960s.

The census was conducted in late 2020 – some seven million census takers had gone door to door to collect information from households.

Given the sheer number of people surveyed, it is considered the most comprehensive resource on China’s population, which is important for future planning.

It was widely expected after the census data results were released that China would relax its family policy rules.

BBC

The true data behind Communist China ‘s three-child policy

The CCP falsified data in its latest national census. China’s actual size of the population may be smaller than what the official number indicated. The government has to implement a three-child policy to combat the declining population.

The Chinese Communist Government has officially announced a three-child policy allowing families to have three children), which can be interpreted as the government’s quiet admission of the false 7th national census. The official data published by the CCP are self-contradictory. Is the actual size of the population larger than what the official data indicate? Let’s look at our data analysis.

For example, according to the CCP’s official report, China’s population of children in the age group 0-14 years old is 253.38 million, but another CCP’s official report stated the total number of newborn babies from 2006 to 2020 is 238.65 million. The difference between the two numbers is 14.73 million with the number of infant mortality during the period is not included. Below is a screenshot of the CCP’s data.

In addition, the CCP’s official data stated that the total number of deaths from 2011 to 2020 is approximately 98.04 million (the estimated number of deaths in 2020 is 10.02 million).

During the same period (2011-2020), the number of newborn babies was 159.14 million, from which we can get the net population increase of 61 million by subtracting the total number of deaths from the total number of newborns.

The CCP launched the Sixth Census and the Seventh Census in 201 and 2020 respectively.

China’s official size of the population in the Seventh Census is 72.06 million larger than that of the Sixth Census, which means the total size of the population grew by 72.06 million according to the census data.

1411.78 million (total size of the population from the Seventh Census)-1339.72 million (total size of the population from the Sixth Census) = 72.06 million.

Yet the previous calculation of newborn and death numbers shows the population grew by only 61 million in this period. The difference between the two calculations is more than 10 million!

The CCP falsified its population data. The real motive behind the CCP’s three-child policy is to encourage birth responding to the declining population. The falsification backfires. The data is self-explanatory.

By G Translators-Financial Team

Author: Jiantizi (简体字);Rangzidanfeifei(让子弹飞飞)

Translator: Billwilliam

 

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